The week of October 20th, brings 14 new market events. Pay special attention to the U.S. Existing Home Sales on Tuesday, may have an effect on the USD/JPY.
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Let’s review the events. All times are GMT.
- Canadian Wholesale Sales: Published on Monday at 13:30 GMT. The market expects a score of 0.2%. If the outcome is 0.4% or higher, PUT on USD/CAD. If the result is -0.5% or lower, CALL option on USD/CAD.
- Swiss Trade Balance: Tuesday, 07:00. Exp. 2.43B . 2.77B or more, PUT USD/CHF. 0.88B or less, CALL USD/CHF.
- U.K. Public Sector Net Borrowing: Tuesday, 09:30. Exp. 9.3B. 11.5B or more, PUT GBP/USD. 8.6B or less, CALL GBP/USD.
- U.S. Existing Home Sales: Tuesday, 15:00. Exp. 5.11M. 5.15M or more CALL USD/JPY. 5.02M or less, PUT USD/JPY.
- Japanese Trade Balance: Wednesday, 00:50. Exp. -0.91T. -0.86T or more, PUT USD/JPY. -0.94T or less, PUT USD/JPY.
- Australian CPI: Wednesday, 01:30. Exp. 0.4%. 0.6% or higher CALL AUD/USD. 0.2% or lower, PUT AUD/USD.
- U.S. Core CPI: Wednesday, 13:30. Exp. 0.2%. 0.3% or higher CALL USD/JPY. -0.1% or lower, PUT USD/JPY.
- New Zealand CPI: Wednesday, 22:45. Exp. 0.5%. 0.6% or higher CALL NZD/USD. 0.2% or lower, PUT NZD/USD.
- German Flash Manufacturing PMI: Thursday, 08:30. Exp. 49.6. 50.3 or more, CALL EUR/USD. 49.2 or less, PUT EUR/USD.
- U.K. Retail Sales: Thursday, 09:30. Exp. -0.1%. 0.6% or higher CALL GBP/USD. -0.2% or lower, PUT GBP/USD.
- U.S. Unemployment Claims: Thursday, 13:30. Exp. 269K. 272K or more, PUT USD/JPY. 261K or less, CALL USD/JPY.
- New Zealand Trade Balance: Thursday, 15:45. Exp. -620M. -199M or more, CALL NZD/USD. -774M or less, PUT NZD/USD.
- U.K. Prelim GDP: Friday, 09:30. Exp. 0.7%. 1.0% or higher CALL GBP/USD. 0.5% or lower, PUT GBP/USD.
- U.S. New Home Sales: Friday, 15:00. Exp. 473K. 511K or more, CALL USD/JPY. 433K or less, PUT USD/JPY.
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These expected market reactions and setups are general market commentary. This is by no means any type of investment advice.
CALL options – if the price closes at a higher level than the price you purchased at expiry time, you make 75%. If it closes below, you’re left with 10%.
PUT options – if the price closes under the price you purchased at expiry time, you make 75%. If it closes above, you’re left with 10%.
The data for these news events has been analyzed given previous releases and reactions, current market conditions and more. Significant surprises to market consensus, as given by surveys of economists, normally trigger sharp market reactions that proceed for a long period of time. When some events collide with each other, they can offset each other. So, these events aren’t in the list.