Binary Options Weekly March 31-4 2014


The week of March 31th, brings 25(!) new market events. Pay special attention to the Swiss KOF Economic Barometer on Monday, can have an effect on the USD/CHF.

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Let’s review the events. All times are GMT.

  1. Japanese Prelim Industrial Production: Published on Monday at 00:50 GMT. The market expects a score of 3.6%. If the outcome is 4.0% or higher, PUT USD/JPY. If the result is 3.3% or lower, CALL option on USD/JPY.
  2. Australian Private Sector Credit: Monday, 01:30. Exp. 0.4%. 0.5% or higher, CALL AUD/USD. 0.3% or lower, PUT AUD/USD.
  3. German Retail Sales: Monday, 07:00. Exp. -0.3%. 2.5% or higher, CALL EUR/USD. -0.8% or lower, PUT EUR/USD.
  4. Swiss KOF Economic Barometer: Monday, 08:00. Exp. 2.08. 2.17 or more PUT USD/CHF. 1.98 or less, CALL USD/CHF.
  5. U.K. Net Lending to Individuals: Monday, 09:30. Exp. 2.3B. 2.5B or more CALL GBP/USD. 1.9B or less, PUT GBP/USD.
  6. Euro Zone CPI Flash Estimate: Monday, 10:00. Exp. 0.6%. 0.8% or higher CALL EUR/USD. 0.5% or lower, PUT EUR/USD.
  7. Canadian GDP: Monday , 13:30. Exp. 0.4%. 0.6% or higher PUT USD/CAD. -0.7% or lower, CALL USD/CAD.
  8. U.S. Chicago PMI: Monday, 14:45. Exp. 59.2. 60.1 or more CALL USD/JPY. 58.9 or less, PUT USD/JPY.
  9. Australian Cash Rate: Tuesday, 04:30. Exp. 2.50%. 2.75% or higher CALL AUD/USD. 2.25% or lower, PUT AUD/USD.
  10. Swiss SVME PMI: Tuesday, 08:30. Exp. 56.9. 58.0 or more PUT USD/CHF. 56.6 or less, CALL USD/CHF.
  11. German Unemployment Change: Tuesday, 08:55. Exp.-9K. -6K or more PUT EUR/USD. -16K or less, CALL EUR/USD.
  12. U.K. Manufacturing PMI: Tuesday, 09:30. Exp. 56.7. 57.1 or more CALL GBP/USD. 56.3 or less, PUT GBP/USD.
  13. Euro Zone Unemployment Rate: Tuesday, 10:00. Exp. 12.0%. 12.2% or higher PUT EUR/USD. 11.8% or lower, CALL EUR/USD.
  14. Canadian RMPI: Tuesday, 13:30. Exp. 2.3%. 2.8% or higher PUT USD/CAD. 2.1% or lOWER, CALL USD/CAD.
  15. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI: Tuesday, 15:00. Exp. 54.2. 54.8 or more CALL USD/JPY. 52.7 or less, PUT USD/JPY.
  16. Australian Building Approvals: Wednesday, 01:30. Exp. -1.7%. 7.5% or higher CALL AUD/USD. -2.6% or lower, PUT AUD/USD.
  17. U.K. Nationwide HPI: Wednesday, 07:00. Exp. 0.7%. 0.8% or higher CALL GBP/USD.  0.5% or lower, PUT GBP/USD.
  18. Spanish Unemployment Change: Wednesday, 08:00. Exp. -5.3K. -0.6K or more PUT EUR/USD. -5.8K or less, CALL EUR/USD.
  19. U.K. Construction PMI: Wednesday, 09:30. Exp. 63.1. 63.5 or more CALL GBP/USD. 62.2 or less, PUT GBP/USD.
  20. U.S. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: Wednesday, 13:15. Exp. 192K. 215K or more CALL USD/JPY. 130K or less, PUT USD/JPY.
  21. U.K. Services PMI: Thursday, 09:30. Exp. 58.2. 58.3 or more CALL GBP/USD. 58.0 or less, PUT GBP/USD.
  22. Euro Retail Sales: Thursday, 10:00. Exp. -0.3%. 1.8% or higher CALL EUR/USD. -0.6% or lower, PUT EUR/USD.
  23. U.S. Unemployment Claims: Thursday, 13:30. Exp. 319K. 321K or more, PUT USD/JPY. 310K or less, CALL USD/JPY.
  24. U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: Thursday, 15:00. Exp. 53.5. 53.8 or more CALL USD/JPY. 51.2 or less, PUT USD/JPY.
  25. German Factory Orders: Friday, 11:00. Exp. 0.5%. 1.4% or higher CALL EUR/USD. 0.3% or lower, PUT EUR/USD.

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These expected market reactions and setups are general market commentary. This is by no means any type of investment advice.

Quick explanations:

CALL options – if the price closes at a higher level than the price you purchased at expiry time, you make 75%. If it closes below, you’re left with 10%.
PUT options – if the price closes under the price you purchased at expiry time, you make 75%. If it closes above, you’re left with 10%.

The data for these news events has been analyzed given previous releases and reactions, current market conditions and more. Significant surprises to market consensus, as given by surveys of economists, normally trigger sharp market reactions that proceed for a long period of time. When some events collide with each other, they can offset each other. So, these events aren’t in the list.

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